Europe stocks lower; Broadcaster Canal+ falls in London debut as former parent Vivendi jumps 33%

This is CNBC's live blog covering European markets.

European markets were lower on Monday, as traders braced up for the final week of central bank action this year and three French media businesses listed in Europe.

The regional Stoxx 600 index was down 0.14% at 9:40 a.m. in London, with autos stocks leading losses. France's CAC 40 index dropped 0.58% as investors assessed credit rating agency Moody's surprise Saturday decision to downgrade the country's score to Aa3, from Aa2 previously. The agency said French public finances would be weakened in the coming years by ongoing political instability.

On Friday, Francois Bayrou was named as France's fourth prime minister this year.

Shares of France's Vivendi leapt 33% as three major businesses formerly within the media conglomerate listed in Europe on Monday. The spinoff was approved by Vivendi shareholders earlier this month in a bid to give each entity a higher valuation.

Broadcaster and film studio Canal+ shares saw a rocky start on the London Stock Exchange, trading 13% lower by mid-morning. Canal+ CEO Maxime Saada told CNBC on Monday that the company had chosen London because it is targeting growth in English-speaking markets and has many important British properties in its portfolio.

Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, noted that volatility in the price in its early days was expected as some investment funds which hold Vivendi stock may be restricted to French-listed stocks and so forced to sell, while other investors decide who inherit the stock decide whether to stick with it.

Publisher Louis Hachette Group climbed 25% in Paris, while advertising and PR firm Havas rose 6% in Amsterdam, making them the second and third-best performers of the Stoxx 600.

In Europe Monday, investors will be keeping an eye on Berlin where a vote of confidence will take place in parliament Monday. Chancellor Olaf Scholz is expected to call on the German parliament today to declare it has no confidence in him in order for snap polls to take place in February. The move comes after his governing coalition collapsed last month.

Beyond that, the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on Dec. 18 stateside is front and center for global markets this week, with the CME Fedwatch tool forecasting a 96% chance of a 25-basis-point cut by the central bank. Traders will be paying close attention to the updated policy statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference for clues about the trajectory for interest rates.

The Bank of England meets on Dec. 19, with markets so far pricing in only a slim chance of a final rate cut of the year.

Europe stocks open mixed

European stock markets opened mixed on Monday, with the Stoxx 600 index moving between slight losses and gains in early deals.

The index closed 0.77% lower last week, ending a run of three weeks in the green.

— Jenni Reid

UK manufacturers' confidence drops due to high costs, budget

Confidence among U.K. manufacturers fell to its lowest level for a year in the fourth quarter amid intensifying cost pressures, according to a survey from trade group Make UK and advisory BDO.

Output and orders "remain positive" but sentiment "darkened markedly" from the third quarter, a period in which business confidence had jumped because of optimism about the new Labour government, Make UK and BDO found.

Since then, the announcement of Labour's flagship budget in late October is set to "add substantial extra business costs to those that companies were already facing," the survey authors wrote.

Among the key measures in the budget was an increase to the National Insurance payroll tax paid by employers, a move which has already sparked concern among wider British businesses. That brought the improvement in manufacturing confidence to a "shuddering halt," said Make UK senior economist, Fhaheen Khan.

The survey found 70% of manufacturers have seen their costs already increase by up to a fifth in the last year.

"An overlay of a turbulent geo-political landscape and talk of potential tariffs adds to future uncertainty in the short to medium term," said Richard Austin, head of manufacturing at BDO.

— Jenni Reid

Traders expect Fed to cut this week, pause in January

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut rates by 0.25 percentage points on Wednesday, but traders will be paying close attention to the updated policy statement and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's press conference for clues about what comes next.

As of Sunday night, pricing in the Fed funds futures market pointed to a 95.3% likelihood of a rate cut this week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. However, traders are also betting that the Fed will pause its rate cutting cycle in January.

That could be a welcome move for investors who are still uneasy with the path of inflation.

Logan Moulton, portfolio manager at Intelligent Wealth Solutions, said inflation appears to be "stickier" than Fed officials previously thought and that there are risks to upward pressure on inflation when the Trump administration takes office.

"Heading into 2025, I think they should at least pause," Moulton said.

— Jesse Pound

CNBC Pro: Morgan Stanley names 7 beneficiaries of Amazon AWS’ new Trainium 2 AI chip

Morgan Stanley has identified the companies that are set to benefit from Amazon's launch of its new artificial intelligence chip.

The Big Tech giant's cloud computing division Amazon Web Services launched its Trainium 2 AI chip earlier this month. AWS hopes these chips will help it diversify away from Nvidia, its primary AI chip supplier.

The investment bank said seven Taiwanese companies are set to benefit from AWS's new Trainium 2 AI chip.

CNBC Pro subscribers can read more here.

— Ganesh Rao

European markets: Here are the opening calls

European markets are expected to open in mixed territory Monday.

The U.K.'s FTSE 100 index is expected to open 4 points lower at 8,292, Germany's DAX up 36 points at 20,443, France's CAC down 1 point at 7,401 and Italy's FTSE MIB up 16 points at 34,876, according to data from IG.

Data releases include flash services and manufacturing purchasing managers' index data from France and Germany.

— Holly Ellyatt